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Planet’s Climate Regulator
Arctic & the Cryosphere

Technical Capabilities

How we do it: science at the frontier of cryosphere research.

Advanced Climate & Geospatial Modelling

From data to decisions—transforming geospatial intelligence into actionable climate policy.

Our in-house modelling framework combines supercomputing capabilities with a Quantum Geoinformatic System (GIS) to deliver high-resolution, near real-time climate intelligence.

  • Integrated Earth System Analysis: Simulates interactions between atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, and meteorological variables using dynamic, data-driven approaches.
  • High-Resolution Teleconnection Mapping: Assesses Arctic–regional climate linkages, including monsoon systems, at granular spatial and temporal scales.
  • Near Real-Time Data Integration: Utilises platforms such as Google Earth Engine and satellite datasets (e.g., SMAP) for continuously updated insights.
  • GeoAI & Advanced Analytics: Applies machine learning techniques—including Segmented Augmented Machine Learning (SAM), Random Forest (RF), and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN)—alongside spatial methods such as Geographic Weighted Regression (GWR), Moran's I, and spatial lag models.
  • Climate Driver Integration: Incorporates major global climate phenomena, including El Niño, La Niña, and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).

Scalable & Globally Replicable

This modelling ecosystem is designed to be geography-agnostic and scalable, enabling countries to:

  • Map climate risks at sub-national levels
  • Understand polar–regional climate linkages
  • Build data-driven, locally relevant climate strategies

Policy Translation & Strategic Advisory

A multidisciplinary team of diplomats, legal experts, scientists, and former defence officials translates complex cryosphere science into actionable policy.

  • Contributors to national polar strategies and international negotiations
  • Advisory support to governments on climate risk, geopolitics, and governance frameworks

Enables policymakers to bridge science, diplomacy, and governance, ensuring climate tipping point risks are embedded into national and international policy frameworks.

Why the Arctic matters for India

Group at a formal meeting related to Arctic and climate policy engagement in India

Arctic’s Impacts on India

Despite being geographically distant, India is highly vulnerable to Arctic-driven climate disruptions—particularly through impacts on the Indian Summer Monsoon.

  • GR has established linkages between Arctic sea ice melt and monsoon variability with 99% confidence interval.
  • Quantified economic losses to India's agrarian economy due to shifting monsoon patterns.
  • Conducted risk assessments across India's 7,500 km coastline in the context of sea-level rise.
Representatives at Chatham House, The Royal Institute of International Affairs

Policy & Global Engagement

Developed the first comprehensive national assessment of cascading Arctic risks across climate, economy, and national security.

  • Active engagement with key institutions including the Ministry of Earth Sciences, National Centre for Polar and Ocean Research, Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, and NCAER.
  • Contributions to India's positioning in global Arctic governance platforms, including the Arctic Council and AMAP.
  • Advised the Parliament of India's Committee on External Affairs on strategic priorities and future pathways for India's Arctic engagement.

Featured Engagements

GR at the frontier of Arctic policy dialogue.

Arctic Council Observer State Consultation

March 2030 - OSLO, Norway

Arctic Council Observer State Consultation

Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India

India's Arctic Strategy: A National Security Perspective

November 2023 — New Delhi

India's Arctic Strategy: A National Security Perspective

National Security Council Secretariat Roundtable

Monsoon Variability & Arctic Teleconnection Symposium

September 2023 — Pune

Monsoon Variability & Arctic Teleconnection Symposium

Indian Institute for Tropical Meteorology (IITM)

Subnational Arctic Climate Action Forum

January 2033 - HELSINKI, Finland

Subnational Arctic Climate Action Forum

Inter-Ministerial Task Group on Climate and Energy Transition

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